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Don’t panic!

You will no doubt be seeing in the newspapers in the next few days that one part of the huge ACCORD trial in patients with Type 2 diabetes has been stopped because of an increased death rate in the group of people assigned to intensive blood glucose control. This is a great shock and no doubt will be taken by some people to indicate that good control of blood glucose may be a bad thing.

No single drug or set of drugs could be identified as being responsible for this, but it all the people in this group were receiving multiple treatments for the diabetes and many of them were using insulin as well as tablets. They did seem to have better blood glucose control in that the haemoglobin A1c levels were significantly lower than in the standard treatment group, but despite this more of them died during thestudy period than in the standard treatment group.

As ever, these results need to be viewed with some care. The group of people included in the study not only had had diabetes for an average of 10 years and were relatively old, but they also had poor control and known heart disease or at least two other risk factors. Although their death rate appeared to be higher in the intensive control group, the rate of non-fatal heart attacks was actually lower and there was no consistent cause of the excess of deaths.

Previous studies have suggested that lifestyle measures leading to better blood glucose control can slow the progress of the condition and reverse some of the complications so this result really does come as a surprise.

The first thing to say is that the results may be a statistical anomaly, which are not that uncommon in large trials of this type (remember the HRT trials?). The second is that it is not the lower blood glucose levels that are likely to be causing the deaths, but rather the treatments. Modern views of diabetes care (not yet promoted by either the American Diabetes Association or Diabetes UK) might say that most of the treatments, and particularly insulin in Type 2 diabetes may well cause more problems than they cure.

You will find a good discussion at: http://www.healthcentral.com/diabetes/c/5068/20145/study-whats/1/

If you want to look at the detail and see what the ACCORD study is all about you can find it at http ://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/prof/heart/other/accord/index.htm.

In the meanwhile DON’T CHANGE YOUR TREATMENT! Good glucose control matters.

Tony Woolfson

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One Response to “Don’t panic!”

  1. sweetn Says:

    Yeah - they’re always doing this sort of thing!

    All sorts of explanations they haven’t even considered.

    Thanks for this,

    Nigel

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